公共留言板 (@board@ovo.st)

公共留言板 (@[email protected])

这里是公共留言板
关注我获取留言推送，提及可以分享到留言板。

Tips:
回复时删除引用可以避免打扰到关注留言板的大家 ~

频次限制：
每位用户 24 小时内可提及 10 条，包括回复，敬请留意

This is a public message board.

Follow me to receive message notifications, and mention me to share your messages on the board.

Tips: Removing mentions when replying can help avoid disturbing everyone following the message board ~

Frequency limit: Each user can make up to 10 mentions within 24 hours, including replies.

近期活动：

[2025-02-06 15:05:41] [email protected]: @wobuzhidaoqunali @board 日本流感高峰在十二月份，现在其实早就到尾声了，如果担心的话可以提前打好疫苗，然后备一些药过来吧！

[2025-02-06 14:11:37] [email protected]: @board 香油们有没有不累脚的马丁靴/乐福鞋/小皮鞋推荐，或者类似风格的鞋子？之前穿马丁靴去环球影城逛了一天脚疼的走不了路 :bison_178:

[2025-02-06 12:05:17] [email protected]: @wwzql @board 还是要补票的吧,出入口都要检查

[2025-02-06 10:14:45] [email protected]: @board 仅从个人的道德观考虑，你认为乘火车“卖短乘长”和“买长乘短”的行为是？

[2025-02-06 10:04:02] [email protected]: [CW] 三十六计，第十三计，打草惊蛇

疑以扣实，察而后动；复者，阴之谋也。Trump is 'beating the grass' in the Middle East to startle the snakes in Gaza - analysisBy SETH J. FRANTZMANFEBRUARY 5, 2025https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-840813US President Donald Trump is pushing for a radical approach to the challenges in Gaza. Rather than tinker away at old solutions that haven’t worked, he is proposing that Gazans be re-settled somewhere else and that Gaza be rebuilt in the long term. This is different than reconstruction in the past, where Hamas and Gaza siphoned off the construction in order to build tunnels.The Trump plan for Gaza is taking shape. However, it’s clear it will receive pushback in the region. Egypt and Jordan don’t want to take in hundreds of thousands of Gazans.Qatar and Turkey, two US allies, both have backed Hamas and won’t want to see it lose its Gaza real estate. It’s not even clear if Israel will be completely on board with this plan since Israel’s policy over the last decade and a half has come to accept Hamas rule in Gaza. Even during fifteen months of war, the Israeli government never came up with a plan to remove Hamas from Gaza.The real story behind Trump laying down a radical approach to Gaza can be found in the saying, “Beat the grass to startle the snakes.” This idiom is often said to date from a 6th-century Chinese essay called “Thirty-Six Stratagems.” The concept is that in a conflict, you do something spectacular, such as beating the proverbial grass, and this leads the enemy to reveal their position. The point is that if you do something unexpected, then the enemy may reveal their position. This doesn’t have to be related to war.What could this be related to? It could be related to policy and politics.In essence, Trump is floating a proposal that will “beat the grass” in the Middle East. The goal may not be purely what Trump says it is.Trump may assume that 1.7 million Gazans probably won’t want to leave Gaza. But if you beat the grass by proposing such a radical policy, it’s possible some countries in the region may realize the US is serious and may decide to approach the Gaza challenge with more candor. Many countries in the region have viewed Gaza as a hot potato, and they want nothing to do with it. This is one reason that Hamas has been allowed to rule Gaza since 2007.In retrospect, it’s obvious Hamas should never have been allowed to rule Gaza. However, many countries didn’t care enough to stop it. The EU walked away from a border monitoring mission on the Egyptian border. Israel looked on and let it happen. The US didn’t mind. Egypt was fine with it. Hamas took over Gaza and has used it for almost twenty years to wage endless wars that have destroyed Gaza. In retrospect, the whole region should have stopped this hell from materializing. Hamas brought hell to Gaza. Hamas also received support from abroad, from Iran, Turkey, Qatar, and other countries. Hamas also infiltrated the West and was able to even get a previous US administration to accept that Hamas leaders would reside in Qatar. In addition, Hamas secured partnerships with UN organizations, media organizations, medical NGOs, and others in its takeover of Gaza.Hamas infiltrated every aspect of life in Gaza to exploit it for war.What will happen if Gazans leave? Trump is beating the grass by proposing that all this will end now. If Gazans leave, then Hamas can’t use them as human shields. If Gazans leave, then Hamas can’t exploit, steal, and sell humanitarian aid. This will put many UN jobs at risk as well because the UN counts on suffering in Gaza to profit. It appears that some Hamas members moonlight as UN workers as well. This is all part of the system of corruption and graft that underpins how Gaza was misruled by Hamas.The concept of “beating the grass” will now stir up the Hamas snakes and all the countries' NGOs and organizations that profit off the ruin of Gaza. They will come forward now, perhaps, to fix the problem. It might be that Trump can secure a win here, not by getting everyone to leave Gaza as under the “stirring” proposal, but by shocking everyone into finally stepping forward with a solution. October 7 happened because everyone ignored Gaza and let Hamas get too strong. Israel underestimated Hamas. Regional countries didn’t appear to devote any human intelligence resources to preventing another Hamas war. Hamas has grown big and dangerous, killing more Jews in one day than at any time since the Holocaust. This requires a radical change in Gaza. Israel has only said it wants to reduce Hamas's “capabilities” and “governance” and prevent “threats” in Gaza. This is more tinkering.What’s required is a major change. Trump’s goal in floating his ideas may be to get countries to agree to be stakeholders in peace in Gaza rather than just rebuild it again and let Hamas run it and destroy it again. @board

[2025-02-06 03:54:01] [email protected]: @smokedoysters @board 漂亮石头（？）

[2025-02-05 23:30:19] [email protected]: [CW] 避免做噩梦的秘诀

@Alice_uwu @board 睡前告诉自己今晚会做什么梦，描述一遍梦的内容（随便编个好梦）。

[2025-02-05 23:25:30] [email protected]: @nurofen @board 豆瓣上很多招水军的，一条评分才5-8块钱

[2025-02-05 23:20:19] [email protected]: @smokedoysters @board 谷子？看看ta有没有喜欢的动画

[2025-02-05 22:45:32] [email protected]: @board 来打扰各位象友，想问一些有什么适合初升高的小女孩小女孩会喜欢的礼物推荐，想送给亲戚家的孩子但是并不想给她太大压力

[2025-02-05 22:38:30] [email protected]: @estel @board 没有印过有这么厚这么多工艺的本（）但感觉纸张和工艺用多了价格都会贵一些… 感觉如果还是想当无料发的话可以用更便宜的纸和工艺节省成本，可以直接找那些印“学习资料”的快印店问问这个页数最便宜可以怎么印，如果还是想要保留工艺变有料的话，定价基本靠本人（）定价亏本，成本价，成本价之上，只要作者本人和受众接受就都说得过去…

[2025-02-05 22:29:10] [email protected]: @board 因为看到关注了很久的豆瓣友邻给肖战的射雕英雄传刷五星，很好奇，给多少钱你会愿意当水军刷分？

[2025-02-05 21:55:15] [email protected]: @board 万能的香油啊，请问这个和张国荣合影的男人是谁？？

[2025-02-05 20:47:04] [email protected]: @board 想购入一个新痛包但是不知道那个比较好（无力）事先声明之本人不是铁肩甚至溜肩，但是wego基础款实在是很百搭……

[2025-02-05 18:27:08] [email protected]: @board 求万能的香油们推荐一款7寸的电纸书！ :bison_65:

[2025-02-05 17:39:59] [email protected]: @board @watch 船嘴鹭邀请您参加过年七天怎么就乐完了观影会！会议主题：聚焦 Spotlight (2015)类型: 剧情 / 传记片长: 128分钟时间：今天晚上【【七点半】】！点击链接入会，或添加至会议列表：https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/5j3UcxhvcBlc#腾讯会议：697-9008-7559复制该信息，打开手机腾讯会议即可参与

[2025-02-05 16:24:18] [email protected]: @VndctvGhostCptn @board 顺楼问一下有没有加湿器推荐

[2025-02-05 14:33:52] [email protected]: @board 请问有好心人记得之前象友推荐的宠物摄像头品牌吗？

[2025-02-05 14:29:34] [email protected]: 提问！正确的是？@poll @board

[2025-02-05 13:18:00] [email protected]: 万能的 @board 有没有香油手里还有赤之神纹的资源……找不到了只能伸手了 :blackcat_11133: